We are facing the Liquidity Trifecta: A heavy-hitting Earnings Calendar (Broadcom, Costco, Oracle), the FOMC Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, and the looming holiday volume drain.
The market is coiled. Bitcoin has cooled to ~$89k, Tech is consolidating, and the VIX is waking up. Most retail traders will chase the breakouts. We will do the opposite. We are looking for “Event Risk” premiums to sell against key technical support levels
Bitcoin CME Futures Daily Chart. The crypto market is cooling off, with BTC dropping to ~$89,600. The RSI has reset from oversold territory and is trending down, confirming the momentum loss.
Below is the CSP Lab Sunday Watchlist for the week of December 8 – December 12, 2025.
💀 Category 1: The Earnings Gauntlet
Stocks reporting this week with juiced Implied Volatility. The goal: Sell the “Fear of the Miss.”
1. Broadcom ($AVGO)Reporting Thursday, Dec 11 (PM)
Lab Logic: The most critical AI hardware print of Q4. Trading near $390, expectations are priced for perfection. If they beat without raising guidance, the stock fades.
The Play: Look to sell OTM puts at the $350 support level to harvest the rich IV. If IV Rank > 50%, the premium is yours to keep
Broadcom ($AVGO) Daily Chart. Price is compressing near all-time highs around $390 ahead of the critical Thursday earnings report. Note the RSI (bottom panel) is showing lower highs while price makes higher highs, a classic bearish divergence signal.
2. Costco ($COST)Reporting Thursday, Dec 11 (PM)
Lab Logic: The “Goldilocks” trade is expensive. Sitting at ~$895, Costco often “sells the news” unless they announce a fee hike.
The Play: Fade any manic rally toward $920. If it flushes, the $850 level is where institutional bids sit. Sell Put Spreads there.
Costco ($COST) Daily Chart. The Goldilocks trend is fraying. Price has been chopping between $880 and $900. The RSI has failed to reclaim the upper range, signaling that buyers are exhausted at these valuations.
3. Oracle ($ORCL)Reporting Wednesday, Dec 10 (PM)
Lab Logic: Legacy cloud meets AI hype. Currently ~$217, well off the highs. This print is about the backlog.
The Play: If they miss, $200 is the psychological floor. We prefer selling Put Spreads below $200. Let the theta decay pay you
Oracle ($ORCL) Daily Chart. The stock is sitting at a critical decision point near $217. The RSI is hovering in “no man’s land” (mid-range), indicating the market is waiting for the earnings catalyst to pick a direction. The gap-down risk is to $200.
4. Adobe ($ADBE)Reporting Wednesday, Dec 10 (PM)
Lab Logic: The market loves to hate Adobe on valuation. Fears of AI disruption keep premiums elevated.
The Play: Classic “Iron Condor” candidate. The stock likely chops around the $370 (200-day MA). Don’t bet on direction; bet on stagnation.
5. Lululemon ($LULU)Reporting Thursday, Dec 11 (PM)
Lab Logic: Sentiment is in the gutter near $190. It’s a dangerous short but a great “fear” play.
The Play: Selling puts at $160 offers a massive safety buffer (approx. 20% OTM). Even a “bad” report is likely priced in.
6. GameStop ($GME)Reporting Tuesday, Dec 9 (PM)
Lab Logic: Pure gambling liquidity. Fundamentals are irrelevant; IV crush is everything.
The Play: Premiums will balloon Tuesday afternoon. Sell wide credit spreads to capture the inevitable crush when the stock moves less than the options market predicts.
7. Toll Brothers ($TOL)Reporting Tuesday, Dec 9 (AM)
Lab Logic: The canary in the coal mine for housing rates.
The Play: Watch for a sympathy move in $XHB. If TOL guides down, the entire sector rolls over.
8. Chewy ($CHWY)Reporting Wednesday, Dec 10 (PM)
Lab Logic: The Roaring Kitty premium has evaporated. Now it’s just a low-margin e-commerce stock.
The Play: Avoid naked exposure. Use defined risk spreads. The move is likely smaller than the market expects.
The “Risk-On” proxies that will amplify the Fed Decision.
9. Nvidia ($NVDA)
Lab Logic: The Sympathy Trade. If $AVGO misses on Thursday, $NVDA dips. That is your buying opportunity. Do not front-run the news; let Broadcom set the table.
10. MicroStrategy ($MSTR)
Lab Logic: A leveraged Bitcoin proxy. With BTC hovering at $89,600 , MSTR is vulnerable.
The Play: If BTC loses $88k, MSTR dumps. We are sellers of calls here unless BTC reclaims $95k.
11. Coinbase ($COIN)
Lab Logic: High beta to crypto volatility. A Dovish Fed sends this flying. A Hawkish Fed sends it to support.
The Play: Range-bound income. Sell strangles outside the expected move.
12. Tesla ($TSLA)
Lab Logic: The wildest card in the deck. It tends to ignore macro logic, but loves cheap money.
The Play: Sell Put Spreads at the 20-day Moving Average. The retail “Put Wall” usually holds.
13. Palantir ($PLTR)
Lab Logic: Retail favorite currently consolidating. It needs a catalyst (FOMC) to break the range.
The Play: Perfect for income trading (selling volatility) until it breaks out of its current box.
14. ARM Holdings ($ARM)
Lab Logic: The lower-liquidity cousin to Nvidia.
The Play: Watch the $AVGO print. If Broadcom mentions “Custom Silicon,” ARM catches a bid.
15. Amazon ($AMZN)
Lab Logic: The safe haven. With Costco reporting, AMZN is the stable anchor.
The Play: If the post-Fed market gets choppy, sell puts on AMZN at the 50-day MA.
🛡️ Category 3: Macro & Sector Hedges
Instruments to trade the Fed Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, 2:00 PM EST).
16. iShares 20+ Year Treasury ($TLT)
Lab Logic: The direct play on Powell.
The Play: Wait for 2:30 PM EST. If Powell is dovish, TLT rips. If he is one and done, it tanks. Do not guess.
Implied Rate Probabilities for Dec 10 Meeting. The bond market is pricing in an ~86% chance of a 25bps rate cut. If Powell pauses (the 14% Hold scenario), expected an immediate 5-7% selloff in $TLT.
17. SPDR Gold Shares ($GLD)
Lab Logic: The inflation hedge.
The Play: Long delta exposure here acts as portfolio insurance against a Policy Mistake (cutting rates while inflation simmers).
18. iShares Russell 2000 ($IWM)
Lab Logic: Small caps are desperate for a cut.
The Play: The most sensitive chart to Wednesday’s news. A Hawkish Cut kills this ETF. A Dovish Cut sends it vertical.
19. Homebuilders ETF ($XHB)
Lab Logic: Paired with Toll Brothers ($TOL) earnings.
The Play: The sector is technically overextended. If TOL misses, look to short $XHB via Bear Call Spreads.
20. Semiconductor ETF ($SMH)
Lab Logic: The Basket Approach.
The Play: If you want AI exposure but fear the $AVGO single-stock gap risk, trade the ETF. It dampens the volatility.
The Final Protocol
You have the list. You have the logic. Now, execute the process.
